What is the AI Kill Threshold?

The AI Kill Threshold is a probability (0-100%) indicating how likely your occupation will be replaced by AI. It is calculated using the Swiss Cheese Barrier Model across four independent dimensions: Learnability, Evaluation Objectivity, Risk Tolerance, and Human Presence.

How is the replacement probability calculated?

Using a Weighted Power Mean with r=-2 across four dimensions. Learnability has weight 0.30, Evaluation Objectivity 0.25, Risk Tolerance 0.20, Human Presence 0.25. An additional E+O interaction bonus applies when both knowledge is explicit and evaluation is objective.

What data sources does AIR use?

AIR aggregates from BLS OES 2023 (798 occupations employment data), O*NET (task structure labels), Eloundou et al. 2023 (LLM exposure measurement across 19,265 tasks), OpenAI GDPval (AI vs human expert blind evaluation), and the World Economic Forum Future of Jobs Report 2025.

How does AIR differ from MBTI?

MBTI measures personality. AIR measures occupational AI-replacement risk. Both use four binary dimensions producing a 4-letter code, but AIR's dimensions are grounded in automation economics literature and the output is backed by employment data from 798 real occupations.

What is the current industry-wide AI replacement rate?

As of 2026, the employment-weighted industry-wide AI replacement rate is 24.7%, calculated as Task Exposure (34.8%, Eloundou et al. 2023) times AI Win Rate vs human experts (71.3%, OpenAI GDPval).

← KI-Ersetzungsrisiko-Test machen

TSRP

The Last Call

“In chaos, you decide who lives — AI freezes”

Low Risk

Ersetzungswahrscheinlichkeit

10%–24%

Prognostizierter Jahresbereich

2043–2060

Risikostufe

Low Risk

Tacit + Subjective + Rigid + Product: Physical experience + subjective quality + irreversible errors

Superkraft

Irreversible physical decisions under extreme uncertainty — no training data exists for this

Schwäche

Predictive AI may reduce the chaos you thrive in

Vier Barriere-Dimensionen

Lernbarkeit — Implizit (T)

Kann KI das Wissen und die Fähigkeiten erwerben und erlernen, die Ihr Job erfordert?

Bewertungsobjektivität — Subjektiv (S)

Gibt es bei Ihrer Arbeit eine „richtige Antwort"? Lässt sich die Qualität objektiv messen?

Fehlertoleranz — Rigide (R)

Wenn die KI einen Fehler macht, sind die Folgen tragbar? Kann man ihrem Output vertrauen?

Personenabhängigkeit — Produkt (P)

Liegt Ihr Wert in „was Sie produzieren" oder in „wer Sie sind"?

Warum exponiert

Only the output matters — if AI ever achieves the physical skill, subjective judgment, and safety record, the "who did it" question won't protect you.

Natürliche Verteidigung

Tacit knowledge + subjective judgment + irreversible consequences = the extreme judgment barrier. Emergency doctors, special forces, elite risk assessors — wrong decisions are permanent.

Typische Berufe

Protective Service (33), Military Specific (55), Healthcare Practitioners & Technical (29) — emergency medicine

Beispielberufe-Risiko

Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers
Discretionary force, community accountability, and real-time threat assessment must remain human
3
Detectives and Criminal Investigators
Investigative judgment and witness interviews require contextual intelligence and legal authority
3
Security Guards
Physical deterrence and rapid response to unpredictable situations require human presence
2
First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives
Command decisions in dynamic situations carry both legal and moral accountability
2
Correctional Officers and Jailers
Facility safety and inmate management in confined environments require constant human judgment
2
Firefighters
Dynamic fire suppression and rescue operations in unpredictable emergencies are irreducibly human
2

Test machen, Profil finden